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According to experts I talked to, the surge in hate spending can be attributed to various factors. They're aware prices aren't going back to 2019 levels, and given everything everyone's just been through, they may as well live it up. She told me that she often finds herself outraged by prices — and then ultimately succumbs to the forces of capitalism. It's easy to say you want to cut back on spending, given high prices, but when a friend asks whether you want to go shopping, it's hard to say no. Hart, the Illinois writer with a brand-new Stanley cup, sees some of her spending as a way to reclaim power.
Persons: Christ, Lydia Boussour, they're, everyone's, Jordan Hart, Hart, Boussour, , they've, it's, acclimated, It's, Claire Tassin, Tassin, There's, Taylor Swift, jonesing, people's, Ravi Dhar, Dhar, he'd, he's, I've, she'd, she'll, Stanley Organizations: Retail, Consumers, Morning, Center, Yale School of Management Locations: America, Illinois, YOLO splurging, Europe, York
We could see mortgage rates start to trend down later this year if incoming data shows that inflation is coming down sustainably. See more mortgage rates on Zillow Real Estate on ZillowMortgage CalculatorUse our free mortgage calculator to see how today's mortgage rates will affect your monthly and long-term payments. As inflation comes down and the Federal Reserve is able to start cutting the federal funds rate, mortgage rates should fall further as well. Now that the Fed has paused hiking rates, mortgage rates have come down a bit. Once the Fed starts cutting rates, which is likely to happen this year, mortgage rates should fall even further.
Persons: Freddie Mac, they'll, Sam Khater, Freddie Mac's Organizations: National Association of Realtors, Zillow, Federal Reserve, Fed Locations: February's, Chevron
Singapore's non-oil domestic exports plunged 20.7% in March from a year ago, a sharp decline from the revised 0.2% fall in February. The 20.7% fall missed expectations by a huge margin, with economists polled by Reuters forecasting a 7% fall. This is the largest drop in non-oil domestic exports recorded by Singapore since January 2023. On a month-on-month basis, non-oil domestic exports slid 8.4%, also more than the 4.5% expected in the Reuters forecast. Non-oil domestic exports to Singapore's top markets declined in March, particularly for the U.S., the European Union and Japan.
Persons: Singapore's Organizations: Reuters, Enterprise Singapore, European Union, . Enterprise Singapore Locations: Marina, Sands, Singapore, Japan, China, Hong Kong, Taiwan
The latest New York Times/Siena College poll showed a tightening race between Biden and Trump. Trump now leads Biden 46% to 45% among registered voters, a decline from February's 48% to 43% lead. Biden is winning over more of his 2020 supporters and boasts leads with women and suburbanites. AdvertisementPresident Joe Biden has gained ground on former President Donald Trump in the latest New York Times/Siena College poll, cutting into a persistent lead that the ex-president has held for months. Last month, both Biden and Trump secured enough delegates to become the presumptive nominees ahead of their party conventions and the November election.
Persons: Trump, Biden, , Joe Biden, Donald Trump Organizations: New York Times, Siena, Biden, Trump, Service, Siena College, Business
Mortgage rates are a bit lower today, though they're still well above where they started the month. See more mortgage rates on Zillow Real Estate on ZillowMortgage CalculatorUse our free mortgage calculator to see how today's mortgage rates will affect your monthly and long-term payments. 15-Year Fixed Mortgage RatesAverage 15-year mortgage rates were 6.16% this week, according to Freddie Mac data, which is a 10-basis-point increase from the previous week. Now that the Fed has paused hiking rates, mortgage rates have come down a bit. Once the Fed starts cutting rates, which is likely to happen this year, mortgage rates should fall even further.
Persons: they're, Freddie Mac Organizations: Markets, Treasury, Investors, Federal Reserve, Zillow, Fed Locations: February's, Chevron
Club holding Wells Fargo will post quarterly results on Friday, followed by our other financial holding, Morgan Stanley, on Tuesday. In theory, higher borrowing costs mean Wells Fargo can generate more money from those interest-earning assets, but it's not that simple. It's hard to say with the fluid inflation and rate expectations whether Wells Fargo might change its NII outlook when it reports on Friday. Wells Fargo also has a key long-term growth prospect in the potential removal of its $1.9 trillion Fed-imposed asset cap. A woman walks past Wells Fargo bank in New York City, U.S., March 17, 2020.
Persons: Morgan Stanley, We're, Jim Cramer, Wells, Wells Fargo's, Mike Santomassimo, Santomassimo, Jim said, Jim, Wells Fargo, Charlie Scharf, Charlie's, He's, Morgan, there's, Jefferies, Reddit's, James Gorman, Ted Pick, Jim Cramer's Organizations: Club, Silicon Valley Bank, UBS, Investment, JPMorgan, Jefferies, Discover, Wall Street, Amer Sports, Astera Labs, Reddit's, New York Stock Exchange, Street Journal, CNBC Locations: Wells, Silicon, Wells Fargo, Capital, Wilson, Morgan, New York City, U.S
A hotter-than-expected inflation report has pushed back expectations for a Federal Reserve interest rate cut. This means mortgage rates are likely to remain elevated for longer than many forecasters had anticipated. This would keep mortgage rates elevated throughout the summer homebuying season, when many home shoppers will be looking to get a mortgage. "March inflation figures were very bad, which also means bad news for interest rates," Lawrence Yun, chief economist for the National Association of Realtors, said in a blog post reacting to March's CPI data. This means your entire monthly mortgage payment, including taxes and insurance, shouldn't exceed 28% of your pre-tax monthly income.
Persons: Lawrence Yun, you'll, Fannie Mae Organizations: Federal, Labor Statistics, National Association of Realtors, Zillow, Mortgage, Association, Sky Locations: Chevron
If the Federal Reserve wants to lower inflation, they need to cut interest rates, according to JPMorgan. JPMorgan strategist Jack Manley said lower interest rates would help lower shelter costs. "You're not going to see meaningful downward pressure on shelter costs until the Fed lowers interest rates," Manley said. AdvertisementIf the Federal Reserve wants to lower inflation back to its long-term target of 2%, it needs to start cutting interest rates, according to JPMorgan strategist Jack Manley. "A lot of what's going on today can be very closely linked to the level of interest rates.
Persons: Jack Manley, Manley, Organizations: Federal Reserve, JPMorgan, Service, Bloomberg
Inflation came in hotter than expected in March
  + stars: | 2024-04-10 | by ( Madison Hoff | ) www.businessinsider.com   time to read: +2 min
March's year-over-year increase was forecasted to be a higher rate than February's rate. The forecast for March's year-over-year increase in the CPI was 3.4%, a higher rate than the 3.2% increase or the 3.1% increase in February or January respectively. The rate came in above the forecast and was higher than February's year-over-year change. CPI increased 0.4% in March from the preceding month — same as the 0.4% surge in February. AdvertisementAverage hourly earnings increased 4.1% year over year to $34.69 an hour in March, which fell short of the 4.3% year-over-year increase in February.
Persons: , That's, Julia Pollak, Pollak Organizations: Consumer, Service, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Business Locations: March's, That's
All eyes will now be on Wednesday's consumer price index, after February's annual inflation rate of 3.2% came in slightly higher than expected. George Lagarias, chief economist at Mazars, told CNBC on Monday that rate cuts in the summer were now looking much less likely. "Personally, I wouldn't be surprised if we saw less rate cuts and pushed more towards the end of the year," he told "Squawk Box Europe" on Monday. Despite this, he said it remains "very likely" that there will be rate cuts this year. They do not want to be the Fed that cut rates as inflation kept beating expectations.
Persons: Neel Kashkari, George Lagarias, Lagarias Organizations: U.S . Federal, Minneapolis, CNBC
CNBC Daily Open: Safe havens in vogue
  + stars: | 2024-04-05 | by ( Clement Tan | In Clemtan | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed down Thursday 1.35% at 38,596.98 in its biggest loss since March 2023 and fourth-straight daily loss. Trusting ZuckerbergMeta shares soared to an intraday record on Thursday, outperforming the broader market after Jefferies and RBC Capital analysts raised their price targets. [PRO] Pre-earnings upgradesAnalysts have become more bullish on six stocks from around the world this week, raising their price targets ahead of the quarterly earnings release season.
Persons: Brent, nonfarm payrolls, Dow, Zuckerberg, Meta, Jefferies Organizations: CNBC, Federal Reserve, West Texas, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, U.S . Federal, Ford, Jefferies, RBC Capital
Economists polled by FactSet anticipate the March consumer price index will show prices rising by 0.3% on a monthly basis, less than February's 0.4% advance. Similarly, the March producer price index is expected to show an increase of 0.5%, according to FactSet consensus estimates. Monday April 8 Tuesday April 9 6 a.m. NFIB Small Business Index (March) Wednesday April 10 8:30 a.m. Consumer Price Index (CPI) (March) 8:30 a.m. Initial Claims (04/06) 8:30 a.m. Producer Price Index PPI Earnings: CarMax Friday April 12 8:30 a.m. Import Price Index (March) 10 a.m. Michigan Sentiment preliminary (April) Earnings: State Street , Wells Fargo , JPMorgan Chase , Progressive , Citigroup
Persons: Stocks, we're, Ross Mayfield, Baird, Mayfield, FactSet, David Einhorn, CNBC's Scott Wapner, he's, Michelle Bowman, Bank's Tom Hainlin, Hainlin, Jamie Myers, JPMorgan Chase Organizations: Federal Reserve, Investors, Treasury Bond, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, . West Texas, Treasury, Fed, Investment Group, Investors Intelligence, American Association of, Walmart, Citigroup, JPMorgan, Index, Treasury Budget NSA, Air Lines, Price Index, Progressive Locations: U.S, Wells Fargo, Michigan
CNBC Daily Open: Risk aversion in vogue
  + stars: | 2024-04-05 | by ( Clement Tan | In Clemtan | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +3 min
This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index edged up 0.1%., while mainland China markets remain shut for a public holiday. The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed down Thursday 1.35% at 38,596.98 in its biggest loss since March 2023 and fourth-straight daily loss. The profit guidance for 6.6 trillion Korean won ($4.89 billion) exceeded even LSEG's estimate of 5.24 trillion won.
Persons: Korea's Kospi, Brent, nonfarm payrolls, Dow, Janet Yellen, Yellen, hasn't Organizations: CNBC, Japan, Federal Reserve, Nikkei, West Texas, Dow Jones, U.S . Federal, Treasury, American, of Commerce, Chips, Samsung Electronics, Tech, Apple Locations: Asia, China, China U.S, Guangzhou, California
Job growth is expected to come in at 200,000 for the period, according to the Dow Jones consensus forecast. That will be just one of several key areas in focus when the report is released at 8:30 a.m. The job market's resilience has confounded many economists who spent the past two years searching for a jobs-led recession that never happened. Household employment, which counts individual workers rather than total jobs and is used to calculate the unemployment rate, has fallen by nearly 1 million since November. The survey is more volatile and uses a much smaller sample than the establishment count that yields the headline payrolls growth total.
Persons: Timothy Aeppel, nonfarm payrolls, Dow, Dan North, Goldman Sachs, Luke Tilley, Stocks Organizations: Labor Department, Allianz Trade, Wilmington Trust Locations: Oxnard , California, Wilmington
Cagla Gurdogan | ReutersTurkey's annual inflation rose to 68.5% for the month of March, an increase on February's 67.1% inflation read, according to the Turkish Statistical Institute's report released Wednesday. Turkey has launched a concerted effort to tackle soaring inflation with interest rate hikes, most recently raising the country's key rate from 45% to 50% in late March. watch nowMuch of the inflation in recent months stems from a significant increase to the minimum wage that Turkey's government mandated for 2024. Economists expect further rate hikes from the central bank will be necessary. Turkey's central bank implemented eight consecutive interest rate hikes from June 2023 to January 2024, totaling a cumulative 3,650 basis points.
Persons: Cagla Gurdogan, Nicholas Farr, Istanbul Mayor Ekrem Imamoglu, Umit Bektas Organizations: Reuters, Economics, Istanbul Mayor, Republican People's Party Locations: Ankara, Turkey, Europe, London, Istanbul Metropolitan, Istanbul
He mentioned a handful of stocks that are nearing buy levels but bigger declines would need to bigger. So, with stocks selling off and cash at the ready, the question is, when do we step in? The fourth quarter was a pretty great one for Club stocks. When a stock is trading above these levels, then investors will look to these levels as support (meaning levels that might serve as a near-term floor). Jim waits 45 minutes after sending a trade alert before buying or selling a stock in his charitable trust's portfolio.
Persons: Tuesday's selloff, annualized, Jim Cramer, Jim, haven't, we've, We've, Jim Cramer's, Timothy A, Clary Organizations: CME, Federal Reserve, Abbott Laboratories, Palo Alto Networks, Investment, Fed, NYSE, Jim Cramer's Charitable, CNBC, New York Stock Exchange, Getty
Mortgage rates were a bit lower this month compared with February. High inflation and Federal Reserve rate hikes helped push mortgage rates up over the last couple of years. See more mortgage rates on Zillow Real Estate on ZillowMortgage Refinance Rates TodayMortgage type Average rate today This information has been provided by Zillow. See more mortgage rates on Zillow Real Estate on ZillowMortgage CalculatorUse our free mortgage calculator to see how today's mortgage rates will affect your monthly and long-term payments. This is good news for mortgage rates — as inflation slows and the Federal Reserve is able to start cutting the federal funds rate, mortgage rates are expected to trend down as well.
Persons: Fannie Mae Organizations: Mortgage Bankers Association, Zillow, Federal Reserve, Mortgage, Association, ARM Locations: Chevron
The Central Bank of Nigeria on Tuesday hiked its key interest rate by 200 basis points, as Africa's largest economy looks to recover from a historic currency crisis and soaring inflation. The CBN announced that its main monetary policy rate would rise to 24.75% from 22.75%, in its second consecutive hike after February's 400 basis point increase. Governor Olayemi Cardoso told a press conference that policymakers believed they need to continue tightening in order to tame runaway inflation, according to Reuters. "That may be a sign that some MPC members are concerned about the impact on growth from tighter monetary policy," he suggested in a note on Tuesday. Capital Economics expects further tightening, given Governor Cardoso's need to bring down the curtain on the country's inflation and currency crises.
Persons: Olayemi Cardoso, David Omojomolo, Cardoso's Organizations: Central Bank of Nigeria, CBN, Reuters, Capital Economics, MPC Locations: Africa
Democratic presidential hopeful and former Vice President Joe Biden in Las Vegas, Nevada on February 22, 2020. President Joe Biden will visit the battleground state of Nevada Tuesday to take aim at corporate landlords, who the White House claims are keeping rents artificially high even as overall inflation has eased. Biden's attack on what he calls 'rent gouging' is part of his broader, election year effort to shift the blame for stubbornly high costs of living away from the president and his economic policies, and onto corporations with outsized pricing powers. Speaking in Nevada, Biden will double down on the housing provisions in his 2025 budget proposal, take aim at "rent gouging by corporate landlords," and call on Congress to pass legislation to lower housing costs, according to a White House fact sheet. Biden won Nevada in 2020, but recent polls show him trailing presumptive Republican nominee Donald Trump in the Silver State.
Persons: Joe Biden, Michigan Ross, Biden, Donald Trump Organizations: White, Times, Biden, Nevada, Silver State Locations: Las Vegas , Nevada, Nevada, Michigan, Silver
Read previewEconomist David Rosenberg has been sounding the recession alarm in recent months, and he now thinks that the likelihood is much greater that the US sees a contraction this year. The head of Rosenberg Research said he believes that a recession is four times more likely than an economic expansion, and it's just a matter of time as more signals kick in until the recession narrative comes back into focus. [H]istorically, when that's happening, unless it's an aberration, you have a four times greater chance of being in a recession than in an expansion. I think the recession narrative is going to come back, you know, in a, in a fuller view," Rosenberg said. And what that's telling you is that it's getting tougher and tougher for the backlog of unemployed to find a new job," he said.
Persons: , David Rosenberg, Rosenberg wasn't, Christopher Columbus, Isabella Ferdinand, it's, Rosenberg, They've Organizations: Service, Rosenberg Research, Business, CNBC Locations: United States
Still, the door is open for rate cuts later in the year. AdvertisementThe nation's central bank is gearing up to make its second interest rate decision of the year, and it probably won't be the relief many Americans want to see. AdvertisementStill, while Americans may not see an interest rate cut this month, they could see one later on this year. But I still think interest rate cuts of one form or the other are likely this year." A group of Democratic lawmakers are also urging Powell to develop a timeline in which Americans can expect to see rate cuts.
Persons: Jerome Powell, , Mark Hamrick, Hamrick, Powell, there's, we've, Nick Bunker, Julia Pollak, Pollak, Congressional Progressive Caucus — Organizations: Federal, Service, Fed, Financial Services Committee, North America, Democratic, Congressional Progressive Caucus
New bank lending in China fell more than expected in February from a record high the previous month, even as the central bank seeks to spur sluggish economic growth and fight deflationary pressures. New bank lending in China fell more than expected in February from a record high the previous month, even as the central bank seeks to spur sluggish economic growth and fight deflationary pressures. Outstanding yuan loans grew 10.1% from a year earlier — the lowest on record — compared with 10.4% growth in January. Analysts polled by Reuters had predicted new yuan loans would fall to 1.50 trillion yuan in February from 4.92 trillion yuan the previous month and against 1.81 trillion yuan a year earlier. Chinese banks made 6.37 trillion yuan in new yuan loans in the first two months of 2024, data released by the central bank showed on Friday.
Organizations: People's Bank of China, Analysts, Reuters, ING, Consumer Locations: Beijing, China
Measured year over year, producer prices rose by 1.6% in February, the most since last September. Core wholesale prices rose 0.3%, down from a 0.5% jump the previous month. Photos You Should See View All 60 ImagesThe producer price index can provide an early read on where consumer inflation is headed. Compared with a year earlier, prices rose 3.2%, up from a 3.1% increase rise the previous month. Still, February's acceleration in producer prices suggested that inflation could stay elevated into the spring.
Persons: Biden, Joe Biden's, doesn't, Jerome Powell Organizations: WASHINGTON, , Federal Reserve, The Labor Department, Fed, Capital Economics, CPI, Wall Locations: United States
Every weekday the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer holds a "Morning Meeting" livestream at 10:20 a.m. Investors should not buy at these levels because the stock market is overbought, Jim Cramer said. As a subscriber to the CNBC Investing Club with Jim Cramer, you will receive a trade alert before Jim makes a trade. Jim waits 45 minutes after sending a trade alert before buying or selling a stock in his charitable trust's portfolio. THE ABOVE INVESTING CLUB INFORMATION IS SUBJECT TO OUR TERMS AND CONDITIONS AND PRIVACY POLICY , TOGETHER WITH OUR DISCLAIMER .
Persons: Jim Cramer, Jim, ByteDance, TikTok, Steven Mnuchin, Jim Cramer's Organizations: CNBC, Federal Reserve, Facebook, Microsoft, Security, Palo Alto Networks, Palo Alto Locations: U.S
Stock futures are near flat Thursday night as investors analyzed the fresh batch of corporate earnings and attempted to look beyond the latest inflation reading. S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq 100 futures were also both little changed. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq each fell around 0.3%. Bond yields climbed in the session — with the benchmark 10-year Treasury reaching 4.29% — as investors wondered if the recent economic data was too strong for the Federal Reserve to loosen monetary policy. Investors will watch Friday morning for economic data on topics such as consumer sentiment, import prices and industrial production.
Persons: Dow, Mark Luschini, Janney Montgomery Scott, Luschini Organizations: Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Adobe, Treasury, Federal Reserve, Dow
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